养老金“抄底”路线图

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the increasing allocation of insurance funds into equity assets driven by "asset scarcity" and policy relaxation, highlighting a significant trend in the investment landscape [4][5]. Group 1: Insurance Fund Activities - Since August, insurance companies have intensified their stake acquisitions, with notable instances including China Ping An purchasing approximately 1.74 million shares of China Pacific Insurance, and Minsheng Life increasing its stake in Zheshang Bank [6]. - The number of stake acquisitions by insurance funds has approached 30 this year, with banks being the most favored sector, including multiple acquisitions in Postal Savings Bank and Agricultural Bank by Ping An Life [7]. - Public utility sectors are also attracting insurance funds, with companies like Great Wall Life and China Life making significant investments in water utility firms [8]. Group 2: Insurance Fund Growth and Challenges - The insurance sector is experiencing robust growth in premium income due to increased awareness among residents regarding insurance, leading to a rise in the balance of insurance fund investments [11]. - By mid-2025, the balance of insurance fund investments is projected to exceed 36 trillion, with a year-on-year growth of 17.39% [12]. - However, the investment structure is facing challenges, particularly with declining net investment yields, as major insurers have seen their yields drop below 4% [15]. Group 3: Dividend Low-Volatility Strategy - The article emphasizes the appeal of dividend low-volatility assets, which provide stable cash flows and long-term returns, making them attractive in both bear and bull markets [19]. - The dividend low-volatility index has outperformed the CSI 300 index, with an annualized return of 13.74% since inception, showcasing its defensive characteristics during market downturns [19]. - The current environment, with a 10-year government bond yield around 1.8%, makes the 4% dividend yield of the low-volatility index particularly appealing compared to other asset classes [22]. Group 4: Pension Investment Trends - Pension investments align closely with the characteristics of insurance funds, focusing on long-term stability and security rather than short-term high returns, which complements the dividend low-volatility strategy [23]. - The growth of pension index products indicates a significant shift towards dividend low-volatility strategies, with the Hua Tai Bai Rui Dividend Low-Volatility ETF seeing a substantial increase in scale [24]. - The Y-share of the Hua Tai Bai Rui Dividend Low-Volatility ETF offers tax benefits for individual pension contributions, enhancing its attractiveness as a long-term investment option [26].