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上半年投资什么最赚钱?真相你肯定不相信
第一财经·2025-09-02 09:46

Core Viewpoint - The most profitable investment in the first half of the year was the Russian Ruble, which appreciated by 41% against the US dollar by June 30, 2023, largely due to a high base interest rate of 20% in Russia [5][6]. Group 1: Investment Trends - The capital that left the US market primarily followed three paths: returning to its origin, filling value gaps, and flowing into speculative markets [6]. - The South Korean stock market ranked second in performance, attributed to its low average price-to-earnings ratio of around 10 times, making it an attractive investment despite political instability [7]. - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index grew by 20% in the first half of the year, influenced by major companies like Meituan, JD.com, and Alibaba, which have significant weight in the index [8]. Group 2: Market Analysis - The Hong Kong market is seen as a better investment alternative compared to South Korea, Spain, and Germany, especially after a decline from 2020 to 2023, leading to attractive valuation levels [8]. - Some Hong Kong companies maintain high cost-performance ratios, while others, particularly the so-called "four little dragons" of consumption, have inflated valuations [9]. - The A-share market has shown signs of recovery, with the Shanghai Composite Index surpassing 3,500 points, indicating potential for a bull market [10]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - A conservative investment strategy favors low price-to-earnings ratio stocks, particularly large commercial banks, as global liquidity is expected to ease [11]. - The real estate sector remains a critical issue, with predictions that it may bottom out between 2025 and 2026 based on historical data [12]. - Gold prices increased by 26% in the first half of the year, and while there is potential for further gains, caution is advised against leveraging investments in gold due to its speculative nature [13][14].