东莞证券：大盘仍有继续上行空间

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the market still has room for upward movement, supported by ample liquidity and a positive holding experience attracting new capital into the market [6][5] - The market is expected to continue a path of steady upward movement, although short-term attention should be paid to profit-taking pressure and potential volatility from increased trading volume [6][4] - Suggested sectors to focus on include finance, TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), electric equipment, non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, public utilities, and biopharmaceuticals [6] Group 2 - The main theme in the market is the focus on growth assets, driven by new industrial cycles, innovation cycles, and changes in penetration rates [8][7] - Specific investment directions include non-bank financial sectors (such as financial IT, brokerage, and insurance), real estate chains in A-shares and Hong Kong, overseas computing power chains and innovative pharmaceuticals, and domestic AI infrastructure and applications [8] Group 3 - After experiencing valuation and sentiment recovery, the market's focus will shift to whether earnings can follow suit, with the current stock-bond price ratio slightly converging [9][3] - If the stock market continues its upward trend, sector opportunities will be key to determining success, and if the slope of the rise steepens, preparations for potential mid-term fluctuations should be made [9] Group 4 - The short-term outlook for the A-share market is a steady upward trend, with close attention needed on policy, capital flow, and external market changes [11][10] - Global capital is flowing into the A-share market, with household savings accelerating towards capital markets, creating a continuous source of incremental funds [11] - The Federal Reserve's signals of potential interest rate cuts and a weaker dollar are favorable for foreign capital returning to A-shares, alongside ongoing domestic consumption and stable real estate policies [11]