村田研究（上）瞄准15年周期投资千亿

Core Viewpoint - Murata Manufacturing anticipates a peak in performance around 2030, driven by the widespread adoption of AI-equipped devices, despite a projected decline in profits for the current fiscal year [3][10][12]. Group 1: Investment and Growth Strategy - The company plans to increase its capital investment for the fiscal year ending March 2026 to 270 billion yen, a 50% increase from the previous year, in anticipation of growing demand for electronic components due to AI [3][6]. - A new factory is under construction in Izumo City, Shimane Prefecture, with an investment of approximately 47 billion yen, set to become Murata's largest facility upon completion in 2026 [5][6]. - The company aims to expand its market share of multilayer ceramic capacitors (MLCC) to 43% by 2030, up from the current 40% [15]. Group 2: Market Position and Challenges - Murata holds the largest market share in the MLCC segment, which is essential for smartphones and electric vehicles, with about 40% of a global market valued at approximately 2 trillion yen [6][7]. - Despite its leading position, the company faces challenges due to stagnation in the smartphone and automotive markets, with a projected net profit of 177 billion yen for the fiscal year 2025, a 24% decrease from the previous year [9][10]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, with companies from Taiwan and South Korea aggressively pursuing market share, prompting Murata to invest heavily to maintain its leadership [16]. Group 3: Historical Performance and Future Outlook - Historically, Murata has experienced performance peaks every 15 years, with significant profit margins during the fiscal years of 1984, 2000, and 2015, linked to technological advancements in electronics [11][12]. - The upcoming peak in 2030 is expected to be driven by the integration of AI in consumer electronics, with the company preparing for a surge in demand for electronic components [12][15]. - The company acknowledges the need for substantial investment to stay ahead of competitors and capture market share, even if it means sacrificing short-term profits [16].