21世纪经济报道·2025-09-05 04:44Core Viewpoint - The e-commerce agency industry is experiencing a "dual climate" in the first half of 2025, with significant performance divergence among listed companies, highlighting the need for transformation and adaptation to new market dynamics [1][2][12]. Group 1: Company Performance - Ruoyuchen achieved a remarkable revenue growth of 67.55% year-on-year, reaching 1.319 billion yuan, driven by a strong performance in its self-owned brand business [9][13]. - Liren Lizhuang reported a revenue decline of 13.98% to 830 million yuan, with a net loss of approximately 33.76 million yuan, marking a staggering year-on-year decrease of 1315.98% [6][12]. - Baozun E-commerce maintained a revenue increase of 5.63% to around 4.6 billion yuan but faced a net loss of 97.04 million yuan, which widened by 6.23% compared to the previous year [7][12]. - Yiwang Yichuang experienced a revenue drop of 14.3% to about 530 million yuan, while its net profit increased by 5.83% to approximately 71 million yuan [9][10]. - Qingmu Technology's revenue rose by 22.75% to 668 million yuan, but its net profit decreased by 22.96% to about 51.66 million yuan due to increased marketing expenses [10][12]. - Kaichun Co. reported a revenue decline of 21.67% to 162 million yuan, with a net profit decrease of 16.17% to approximately 300,890 yuan [10][12]. Group 2: Industry Trends - The e-commerce user growth rate is slowing, and competition for platform traffic is intensifying, leading to rising customer acquisition costs (CAC) and squeezing profit margins for agencies [2][11]. - The fragmentation of traffic sources, with the rise of platforms like Douyin and Xiaohongshu, has made it essential for agencies to adapt their service models beyond traditional "shelf e-commerce" [2][11]. - The shift towards a "stock era" in e-commerce emphasizes the importance of transformation and innovation for survival and growth, as evidenced by the performance disparities among companies [12][13]. - The overall online retail sales in China reached 74.295 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, growing by 8.5%, indicating that e-commerce still plays a crucial role in the consumer market [14][16]. Group 3: Strategic Insights - Companies that successfully transition to self-owned brand operations and diversify their business models are likely to thrive, as seen with Ruoyuchen's significant growth in self-owned brands [9][13]. - The ability to leverage accumulated data and identify new market segments will be critical for agencies to navigate the evolving landscape and capitalize on emerging opportunities [16]. - The government's push for healthy e-commerce development aligns with the industry's need for innovation, suggesting a favorable environment for companies that can adapt quickly [14][16].