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前CFO怒喷斑马网络“圈钱上市”,阿里托举也止不住亏损?
阿尔法工场研究院·2025-09-08 00:02

Core Viewpoint - Zebra Network's IPO process is marred by losses, dependency on major shareholders, and reputation controversies [2][5] Shareholder Dependency - Zebra Network's ownership structure shows Alibaba holding 44.7% and SAIC holding 34.3%, indicating a high reliance on these two major shareholders [3][7] - Revenue from SAIC has historically contributed nearly half of Zebra Network's income, with SAIC's revenue share being 54.7%, 47.4%, and 38.8% from 2022 to 2024, and rebounding to 47.8% in Q1 2025 [10][8] Financial Performance - The company has accumulated losses exceeding 2.6 billion yuan from 2022 to 2024, with a further loss of 1.58 billion yuan in Q1 2025, primarily due to a one-time intangible asset impairment of 1.84 billion yuan [15][16] - Gross margin has declined from 53.9% in 2022 to 38.9% in 2024, indicating ongoing financial and profitability pressures [15][16] Market Position and Valuation Controversy - Despite holding a leading market share in niche segments, the former CFO criticized the company for its fundraising motives, raising doubts about its valuation and market strategy [4][11] - Zebra Network's market share in software-centric smart cockpit solutions is 7.8%, while in vehicle platform services, it stands at 11.2%, but the overall market remains fragmented with the top five players holding only 26.9% [16][20] User Experience and Reputation Issues - User complaints about the "Zebra Smart Driving System" include system lag and upgrade failures, which could impact partnerships with automakers and revenue stability [12][21] - The public criticism from the former CFO and negative user feedback have heightened concerns regarding the company's governance and valuation [11][21] Competitive Landscape - The smart cockpit market is entering a price war, challenging Zebra Network's profitability as hardware prices drop and software procurement becomes bundled, reducing negotiation power [17][21] - R&D expenses have been high, with 1.11 billion, 1.12 billion, and 980 million yuan from 2022 to 2024, yet the gross margin continues to decline [17][15] Future Outlook - Zebra Network's future hinges on its ability to reduce dependency on SAIC and Alibaba, enhance product experience, and develop independent R&D capabilities [21][20] - The company faces significant scrutiny from investors regarding its ability to achieve profitability and maintain competitive advantages amid rising competition and self-research trends from automakers [20][21]