长盛基金郭堃：穿越市场周期的均衡成长之道

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the investment philosophy of Guo Kun, a balanced growth-style fund manager, who focuses on long-term sustainable excess returns through industry balance and selective growth [1][10][11]. Investment Philosophy - Guo Kun's investment strategy is characterized by a "balanced growth" approach, utilizing industry balance as a shield and selective growth as a spear to achieve stable long-term returns [10][11]. - Historical data shows that the portfolios managed by Guo Kun consistently rank in the top 30%-40% of the market, with some periods reaching the top 10% [1][11]. Market Outlook - Guo Kun holds an optimistic view of the market as of 2025, identifying AI and innovative pharmaceuticals as key investment directions [2][15]. - The current bull market is driven by a solid economic foundation, ongoing structural optimization, and sustained liquidity [15]. Investment Strategy - The investment framework includes three layers of dynamic management: 1. Position management with a central position of 85%, allowing for limited adjustments based on market conditions [11]. 2. Asset and industry allocation, with growth stocks making up 70%-100% of the portfolio [11]. 3. Internal comparison and selective stock picking within growth sectors, focusing on companies with sustainable growth and significant competitive advantages [12][11]. Successful Case Studies - Guo Kun successfully executed left-side layouts in the new energy sector at the end of 2018 and in the innovative pharmaceutical sector in 2023, leading to significant returns [7][17]. Team Collaboration - The team collaboration mechanism is highlighted as a key factor in Guo Kun's investment success, fostering a multi-level research discussion system to keep information fresh and relevant [8][6]. Future Focus Areas - The article identifies AI applications and innovative pharmaceuticals as the primary focus for the next 2-3 years, with a long-term view on nuclear fusion and advanced manufacturing sectors [15][17].