Core Viewpoint - The bond market has experienced significant adjustments since July, leading to negative returns for over a thousand bond funds, while the equity market has seen a resurgence in investor confidence due to supportive policies [2][8]. Group 1: Bond Market Adjustments - Since early July, the 30-year government bond futures have retraced over 5%, with other maturities also showing declines, indicating a broad adjustment in the bond market [4][5]. - The recent adjustments in the bond market are attributed to changing expectations, with macroeconomic policies aimed at stabilizing growth and a shift in risk appetite due to a strengthening equity market [6][11]. Group 2: Fund Performance - As of September 9, over a thousand bond funds reported negative year-to-date returns, with 50 funds showing returns below -2% and 181 funds not exceeding -1% [8]. - In contrast, convertible bond funds and mixed equity-bond funds have performed relatively well, with several convertible bond funds achieving returns exceeding 20% [9]. Group 3: Market Dynamics and Future Outlook - The bond market is facing redemption pressures due to declining net values, with nearly 20 funds experiencing significant redemptions in the past month [9]. - Analysts suggest that the current bond market adjustments may serve as a correction to previous overpricing, as the market had been overly crowded, leading to declining bond yields [9]. - The introduction of new regulations by the China Securities Regulatory Commission regarding public fund fees has raised concerns among investors, although some analysts believe the impact on the bond market will be limited [9][12].
持续调整!年内上千只债基负收益
证券时报·2025-09-10 10:11