势银能链·2025-09-11 03:33Core Viewpoint - The hydrogen energy industry is experiencing a transition from a hype cycle to a more mature phase, with significant investments and project developments, but also facing challenges related to project cancellations and market uncertainties [5][6]. Investment and Project Development - Over 500 clean hydrogen projects have matured globally, with a total investment of $110 billion, increasing by $35 billion in the past year [3]. - The hydrogen sector has seen an annual investment growth rate exceeding 50% over the past five years [3]. - More than 1,700 hydrogen projects have been announced since 2020, a 7.5-fold increase, but over 50 projects have been publicly canceled in the last 18 months [5]. Project Cancellations and Challenges - 38% of canceled projects cited policy and market uncertainties as primary reasons, while 27% faced funding challenges [5]. - The report suggests that only about 1 in 10 announced projects may ultimately become operational, similar to trends observed in solar and wind energy sectors [5]. Demand and Supply Dynamics - The current locked-in demand for hydrogen is approximately 3.6 million tons per year, with potential demand reaching 8 million tons per year in key markets by 2030 if policies are effectively implemented [6]. - In China, India, and Canada, an additional demand of 2 million tons per year is expected under current policies [6]. Regional Insights - Europe has the highest number of mature hydrogen projects, followed by North America and China, with about 70% of projects being renewable hydrogen projects [7]. - China's electrolyzer operational capacity has increased sixfold since 2022, accounting for 56% of global renewable hydrogen operational capacity [10]. - The Xinjiang Kuqa Green Hydrogen Pilot Project in China is highlighted as a significant case, producing approximately 20,000 tons of green hydrogen annually [12].