Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent performance and market dynamics of the "three swordsmen" in the optical communication sector: Xinyi Sheng, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Tianfu Communication, highlighting their strong earnings yet declining stock prices in 2023 [1][2]. Group 1: Company Overview - The three companies primarily engage in the production of optical modules, which are essential for converting optical signals and are critical components in the optical communication industry [1]. - Optical modules serve as "translators" and "accelerators" for network signals, significantly enhancing data transmission and processing speeds, particularly relevant for AI applications [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Zhongji Xuchuang reported a net profit of nearly 4 billion yuan in the first half of the year, marking a year-on-year increase of nearly 70% [2]. - Xinyi Sheng also achieved a net profit close to 4 billion yuan, with an astonishing growth rate of 355% [2]. - Tianfu Communication experienced a 37% increase in net profit during the same period [2]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - Despite the impressive earnings, the stock prices of these companies have not continued to rise, attributed to profit-taking by investors and a general market correction after a period of high valuations [2]. - The optical module sector attracted significant investor attention in the first half of the year, leading to concerns about valuation bubbles and a need for profit realization [2]. - The ongoing demand for AI technology and the expansion of computing power are expected to provide a long-term support for the optical module industry [2]. Group 4: Industry Outlook - The macroeconomic environment, including expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, has led to a short-term decline in market risk appetite, potentially pushing the bull market into a consolidation phase [3]. - The optical module industry is transitioning from 800G to 1.6T technology, which may favor the emergence of leading companies in a technology-driven market [3]. - The ability of the three leading companies to maintain their competitive edge in a challenging market is a point of interest for future developments [3].
光模块“三剑客”崛起:AI算力革命下的确定性赛道?