重磅经济数据即将发布

Economic Overview - In July, China's economy experienced short-term fluctuations due to extreme weather conditions, with market attention focused on whether August data would stabilize and rebound [3] - The National Bureau of Statistics is set to release key economic indicators on September 15, including industrial added value, retail sales, and fixed asset investment [3] Industrial Growth - The average predicted year-on-year growth rate for industrial added value in August is 5.7%, consistent with the previous month's data [6] - The manufacturing PMI for August is reported at 49.4%, indicating slight improvement, while the non-manufacturing PMI is at 50.3%, suggesting continued expansion [6] - Analysts note that external demand remains strong, supporting industrial production despite some internal challenges [6][7] Consumer Spending - The predicted year-on-year growth rate for social retail sales in August is 3.9%, slightly higher than the previous month's 3.7% [9] - Factors contributing to this growth include increased tourism and automotive consumption, although retail and housing-related consumption remain weak [9][10] - The automotive sector shows significant growth, with production and sales exceeding 2 million units for the first eight months of the year, and August figures reflecting a year-on-year increase of 13% in production [10] Infrastructure Investment - The average predicted growth rate for fixed asset investment in August is 1.5%, slightly lower than the previous month's 1.6% [12] - Infrastructure investment is expected to receive support from government spending and the recent allocation of 300 billion yuan for key projects [12] - The focus on "two new" and "two heavy" investments is anticipated to stimulate private sector investment and support overall fixed asset investment [12][13] Future Outlook - The economic landscape is characterized by resilience in external demand and weakness in internal demand, necessitating further policy measures to boost domestic consumption [13] - The implementation of new policy tools and a focus on high-quality urban development and new industrialization are expected to support economic growth in the medium to long term [14]