加拿大鹅没人要了？

Core Viewpoint - Canada Goose's controlling shareholder, Bain Capital, has received a privatization offer valued at $1.4 billion, with significant interest from Chinese investors [8][10]. Group 1: Canada Goose's Situation - Bain Capital has held controlling interest in Canada Goose for 12 years and is looking to exit as the fund's term nears its end, having initially invested around $300-400 million [10]. - The brand has seen a significant decline in growth, with revenue growth dropping from 21.5% to 1.1% for the fiscal years 2022-2025, amid increasing competition and a downturn in global consumer spending [10]. - Despite challenges, Canada Goose remains profitable, with Q1 2026 revenue growing by 22.4% to CAD 108 million (approximately RMB 561 million), marking the largest increase in nine quarters [19][22]. Group 2: Potential Buyers - Anta Sports, with a strong cash position of RMB 55.58 billion and a net cash inflow of RMB 10.93 billion for the first half of 2025, is seen as a potential buyer for Canada Goose [12][13]. - Other interested parties include Boyu Capital and Advent International, as well as domestic brands like Bosideng, which recently acquired a stake in another high-end down jacket brand [8][17]. Group 3: Market Dynamics - The Chinese market has become Canada Goose's largest, with sales in the Greater China region surpassing those in the US and Canada, reaching CAD 422 million (approximately RMB 220 million) in FY 2024 [19]. - The overall retail growth in China's apparel sector has slowed, with a mere 3.1% increase in retail sales for clothing, shoes, and textiles in the first half of the year [27]. Group 4: Broader Industry Trends - There is a trend of foreign brands seeking to sell their Chinese operations, with notable examples including Decathlon and Starbucks, as they struggle to adapt to the changing market landscape [26][27]. - Anta's strategy has shifted from aggressive expansion to improving operational quality and efficiency, as evidenced by the increased inventory turnover days to 136 days [15].