Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent announcement by the National Health Commission of China to include HPV vaccines in the national immunization program, which is expected to boost the performance of HPV vaccine manufacturers struggling with declining sales and profits [3][4]. Group 1: Market Performance of HPV Vaccine Companies - HPV vaccine stocks in the A-share market saw a rise, with notable increases in companies like Kangla Weishi (3.09%), Wantai Biological (2.69%), Zhifei Biological (1.98%), and Watson Bio (1.71%) [3]. - The HPV vaccine market in China has become increasingly competitive, leading to a price war and a decline in public willingness to get vaccinated, which has negatively impacted sales [6][7]. - For instance, Wantai Biological reported a revenue of 844 million yuan, down 38.25% year-on-year, and a net loss of 144 million yuan [7]. Watson Bio's revenue was 1.154 billion yuan, down 19.47%, with a net profit decline of 74.69% [7]. Zhifei Biological's revenue fell to 4.919 billion yuan, down 73.06%, with a net loss of 597 million yuan [7]. Group 2: HPV Vaccine Market Dynamics - The HPV vaccine market in China has seen a total of six listed vaccines, including three bivalent, one quadrivalent, and two nonavalent vaccines [5][6]. - The initial demand for HPV vaccines was high, but the market has cooled due to increased competition and limited public awareness and financial capability [6]. - The World Health Organization recommends that countries include HPV vaccination in their national immunization programs, prioritizing girls aged 9 to 14 [9]. As of the end of 2024, 143 out of 194 WHO member countries have included HPV vaccines in their national programs [9]. Group 3: Future Prospects of HPV Vaccines in China - The inclusion of HPV vaccines in the national immunization program is seen as timely due to sufficient supply and decreasing prices, with the lowest bid for HPV vaccines currently at 27.5 yuan per dose [11]. - Industry insiders suggest that the bivalent HPV vaccine is likely to be included in the national immunization program, which would stabilize prices and increase sales volume [11]. - Although profit margins may be lower under the national program, they could still be higher than those under local immunization programs, where competition is more intense [11].
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