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暴涨!今夜,见证历史!
中国基金报·2025-09-12 00:22

Market Overview - The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has surpassed 46,000 points, with major U.S. stock indices experiencing significant gains on September 11, including a rise of over 500 points for the DJIA, approximately 0.65% for the Nasdaq, and about 0.76% for the S&P 500, all reaching historical highs [3][4]. Economic Indicators - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for August increased by 0.4% month-over-month, exceeding economists' expectations of 0.3%, while the year-over-year increase was 2.9%, aligning with forecasts. The core CPI, excluding food and energy, rose 0.3% month-over-month and 3.1% year-over-year, both meeting expectations [6]. - The Producer Price Index (PPI) unexpectedly declined by 0.1% month-over-month prior to the CPI report. Additionally, the job market showed signs of cooling, with initial jobless claims rising by 27,000 to a seasonally adjusted 263,000, the highest since October 2021, surpassing market expectations of 235,000 [7]. Federal Reserve Outlook - Following the economic data, U.S. Treasury yields fell, with the 10-year yield dropping to 4%. The market is almost certain that the Federal Reserve will cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points at the upcoming meeting on September 17, with an increased probability of a 50 basis point cut as well [8]. - Analysts suggest that the weak labor market is prompting Wall Street to anticipate a more aggressive rate-cutting path, with expectations of a 25 basis point cut at each of the remaining three meetings this year [9]. Chinese Stocks Performance - On the evening of September 11, Chinese concept stocks surged nearly 3%, with major Hong Kong indices also rising over 1% in after-hours trading, indicating a positive outlook for A-shares and Hong Kong stocks on the following Friday [10]. - Alibaba's stock rose by 7%, while Baidu's stock increased by approximately 4%. Reports indicate that both companies have begun using their self-developed AI chips for training AI models, marking a significant shift in China's technology landscape [13].