蓝佛安发声，财政政策始终留有后手

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the achievements and future plans of China's fiscal policy during the "14th Five-Year Plan" period, emphasizing the importance of balancing risk prevention and economic development while ensuring fiscal policy remains flexible and proactive [2][3]. Fiscal Policy and Debt Management - The Ministry of Finance will continue to maintain the continuity and stability of fiscal policies while enhancing flexibility and foresight, preparing policies in advance to support high-quality economic development [3]. - The government will implement a debt management mechanism that aligns with high-quality development, focusing on reducing existing hidden debts, managing new debt limits, and improving the efficiency of bond usage [4]. - A total of 19.4 trillion yuan of local government special bonds have been arranged over five years to support 150,000 construction projects, alongside 3.3 trillion yuan in central budget investments for infrastructure [6]. Economic Stimulus and Consumption - The issuance of 5 trillion yuan in special government bonds this year aims to inject capital into large commercial banks, potentially stimulating around 6 trillion yuan in credit [7]. - Fiscal policies have successfully stimulated consumption, with approximately 420 billion yuan allocated to support the replacement of old consumer goods, resulting in over 2.9 trillion yuan in sales [11]. - The rural retail sales of consumer goods have increased by 24% since the beginning of the "14th Five-Year Plan," driven by targeted fiscal measures [11]. Debt and Risk Management - As of the end of 2024, the total government debt is projected to be 92.6 trillion yuan, with a debt-to-GDP ratio of 68.7%, indicating that the debt level is within a reasonable range and manageable [9]. - Over 60% of financing platforms have exited by mid-2025, indicating significant progress in reducing hidden debts [10]. - The average interest cost of debt has decreased by over 2.5 percentage points after debt swaps, saving more than 450 billion yuan in interest expenses [12].