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刚刚!美联储,降息大消息!特朗普,最新发声!
券商中国·2025-09-15 01:45

Core Viewpoint - President Trump is exerting significant pressure on the Federal Reserve to implement a substantial interest rate cut during the upcoming meeting, marking the first easing policy in nine months [2][3][4]. Summary by Sections Federal Reserve Meeting Expectations - The Federal Reserve is expected to announce a rate cut during its meeting on September 16-17, with market consensus leaning towards a minimum cut of 25 basis points, having a 96.4% probability according to CME's FedWatch tool [2][8]. - There is a low probability of a 50 basis point cut at 3.6%, while the likelihood of cumulative cuts of 125 basis points over the next five meetings is projected at 81% [8][10]. Trump's Influence and Actions - Trump has publicly stated that now is the best time for a significant rate cut, emphasizing the need for a "large" reduction [3][4]. - The Trump administration is also pushing for the dismissal of Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard, citing allegations of mortgage fraud, which could impact the Fed's decision-making [5][6][7]. Market Reactions and Predictions - Financial markets are optimistic about the Fed's potential easing, with asset prices reaching high levels, including the S&P 500 nearing historical highs and the Nasdaq 100 hitting record levels [9]. - Analysts suggest that the Fed's upcoming statements and the dot plot will be crucial in determining future monetary policy directions, with a focus on employment concerns rather than inflation [9][10].