【商用车】2025年8月轻型商用车市场预测研究报告

Industry Insights - Foton Motor has launched the Kaven Ledi, targeting multi-scenario freight with a 2-ton capacity and a 300 km range, reducing charging frequency for efficient daily operations [2] - Foton's Xiangling U7 was unveiled, designed to enhance the value of electric vans, supporting intercity logistics and urban delivery, contributing to the sales growth of new energy vehicles [4] - Yutong Bus introduced the Tianjun V6E, a durable electric light bus suitable for various high-frequency operational scenarios, providing a comprehensive value assurance system for customers [6] Product Analysis - The natural gas commercial vehicle market is expected to grow rapidly in 2023-2024, with sales projected at 284,000 units in 2024, a 16.8% increase year-on-year, although a slight decline is noted in early 2025 [8] - In terms of vehicle types, natural gas commercial vehicles are primarily composed of tractors, small trucks, and light trucks, with tractors accounting for nearly 60% of sales [11] - The natural gas light small truck market is experiencing rapid growth, with a compound annual growth rate of 19.5% from 2019 to 2024, and sales expected to reach 78,000 units in 2024 [13] Sales Forecast - The light commercial vehicle market is projected to stabilize in 2025, with an estimated total sales volume of 2.81 million units, reflecting a 3.1% year-on-year increase, driven by government investment and rising e-commerce demand [22]