【宏观经济】一周要闻回顾(2025年9月11日-9月16日)

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the growth trends in various sectors of the Chinese economy for August 2025, including industrial output, fixed asset investment, and retail sales, indicating a mixed economic recovery with specific sectors showing stronger performance than others [2][3][8]. Industrial Output - In August 2025, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises increased by 5.2% year-on-year, with a month-on-month growth of 0.37%. For the first eight months of 2025, the year-on-year growth was 6.2% [3]. - By sector, mining increased by 5.1%, manufacturing by 5.7%, and electricity, heat, gas, and water production and supply by 2.4% in August [3]. - Among 41 major industries, 31 reported year-on-year growth in added value, with notable increases in chemical raw materials and products (7.6%), black metal smelting and processing (7.3%), and non-ferrous metal smelting and processing (9.1%) [3][4]. Fixed Asset Investment - From January to August 2025, national fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) reached 326.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.5%. However, private investment decreased by 2.3% [5][6]. - The investment in the primary industry grew by 5.5%, while the secondary industry saw a 7.6% increase. The tertiary industry, however, experienced a decline of 3.4% [6]. - Infrastructure investment in the tertiary sector grew by 2.0%, with significant increases in water transportation (15.9%) and water conservancy management (7.4%) [6]. Retail Sales - In August 2025, the total retail sales of consumer goods reached 39.668 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year growth of 3.4%. Excluding automobiles, retail sales grew by 3.7% [8][10]. - For the first eight months, total retail sales amounted to 323.906 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 4.6% [10]. - Online retail sales for the same period reached 99.828 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.6%, with physical goods online sales growing by 6.4% [11]. Energy Production - In August 2025, the production of raw coal decreased by 3.2% year-on-year, while crude oil production increased by 2.4% [15][18]. - The industrial electricity generation reached 936.3 billion kilowatt-hours in August, showing a year-on-year growth of 1.6% [23]. - Natural gas production also saw stable growth, with an output of 21.2 billion cubic meters in August, up by 5.9% year-on-year [21].