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【安泰科】单晶硅片周评-市场情绪高涨 硅片价格继续上行(2025年9月18日)

Core Viewpoint - The price of silicon wafers continues to rise, driven by increasing polysilicon prices and strong demand from overseas markets, particularly in light of favorable policies and stable production rates in the industry [1][2]. Group 1: Silicon Wafer Prices - The average transaction price for N-type G10L monocrystalline silicon wafers (182183.75mm/130μm) is 1.32 yuan per piece, up 3.13% week-on-week [1]. - The average transaction price for N-type G12R monocrystalline silicon wafers (182210mm/130μm) is 1.40 yuan per piece, up 1.45% week-on-week [1]. - The average transaction price for N-type G12 monocrystalline silicon wafers (210*210mm/130μm) is 1.68 yuan per piece, up 5.00% week-on-week [1]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The increase in silicon wafer prices is attributed to rising polysilicon prices, which have boosted market sentiment [1]. - On the supply side, the continuous rise in polysilicon prices has led silicon wafer manufacturers to be optimistic about future market conditions [1]. - On the demand side, the impact of U.S. anti-dumping measures and corresponding tariffs, along with expectations of domestic export tax rebate policies, has resulted in strong overseas demand and increased orders for battery cells [1]. Group 3: Production Rates - The overall operating rate in the industry remains stable, with two leading companies operating at rates of 52% and 50%, while integrated companies operate between 54% and 80% [1]. - Other companies have operating rates ranging from 50% to 80% [1]. Group 4: Battery and Module Prices - The mainstream price for battery cells is 0.29-0.30 yuan/W, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.01 yuan/W [2]. - The mainstream price for modules remains stable at 0.66-0.68 yuan/W, unchanged from the previous week [2]. - In the short term, the increase in polysilicon prices is expected to raise silicon wafer production costs, while sustained overseas demand supports current silicon wafer prices [2].