Oracle(US:ORCL) 经济观察报·2025-09-19 12:08Core Insights - Oracle's recent success is attributed to its accurate insight into technological evolution and strategic decision-making by its leadership [1][5] - The company has positioned itself effectively in the AI wave, securing significant contracts with major players like OpenAI and Nvidia, and potentially taking on a key role with TikTok [2][4] Technology Strategy - Oracle chose to focus on "second-generation cloud infrastructure" (OCI) rather than competing directly in the crowded public cloud market, which aligns well with the computational needs of AI model training and inference [2][3] - OCI's inherent architectural advantages provide Oracle with a competitive edge in cost-effectiveness and energy efficiency, especially as demand for computational power surges [3] Client Base and Trust - Oracle's long-standing relationships with large, complex organizations such as banks and governments create a strong trust factor, making it a reliable choice for AI giants seeking robust computational support [4] - This trust, built over decades, serves as an intangible asset that competitors find difficult to replicate quickly [4] Market Positioning - Oracle has strategically positioned itself as a "water and electricity" supplier in the AI era, avoiding direct competition with application-layer companies and instead focusing on providing essential computational resources [4][5] - The partnership with Nvidia enhances Oracle's infrastructure capabilities, allowing it to serve a wide range of clients without seeking to control them [4] Financial Considerations - Despite Oracle's promising trajectory, it faces challenges such as a $35 billion annual capital expenditure plan, which has impacted its free cash flow [5] - The company must efficiently convert its substantial contract backlog into actual revenue and establish large-scale data centers globally [5] Lessons Learned - Oracle's experience illustrates that established companies can thrive in new cycles by focusing on their strengths rather than diversifying blindly [5] - The case of Oracle demonstrates that while technological waves can disrupt some companies, those that can adapt and find their rhythm can continue to lead in the evolving market landscape [5]