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曹永刚:最好的机会隐藏在政策、技术和需求的交汇点
中国基金报·2025-09-20 02:15

Core Viewpoint - AI is a key thread connecting the "Five Major Articles" in China's capital market, representing significant investment opportunities at the intersection of policy, technology, and demand [1][10]. Group 1: Capital Market Dynamics - The Chinese capital market is experiencing a notable increase in activity, with funds seeking investment directions closely related to AI [3][4]. - Since the implementation of the "9·24" policy in 2024, the capital market has seen two significant phases of upward movement, driven by policy benefits and subsequent AI technology breakthroughs [4]. - As of August 2025, M1 (narrow money supply) grew by 6% year-on-year, contrasting with a 7.3% decline in the same period of 2024, indicating a shift in liquidity towards capital markets [4]. - In July, household deposits decreased by 1.1 trillion yuan, while securities and fund accounts increased by 2.14 trillion yuan, showing a trend of reallocating funds from banks to equity assets [4][5]. - The A-share market has seen daily trading volumes exceed 2 trillion yuan, signaling a peak in market activity for the year [4]. Group 2: AI Industry Insights - The AI industry is transitioning from technical exploration to value creation, becoming a core driver of the "technology + industry" revolution [7]. - The performance of companies like Cambrian Technology indicates that China's AI industry is on a path of independent development, narrowing the gap with global leaders [8]. - AI is being integrated across various sectors, including manufacturing, education, finance, and healthcare, fundamentally transforming traditional industries [8][11]. - The greatest value from AI is expected to emerge from its application layer, where it can help businesses reduce costs and improve efficiency [8]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Investment institutions should align with national strategies and focus on the intersections of AI and the "Five Major Articles" [9][10]. - 弘毅投资 is actively investing in AI-related sectors, including artificial intelligence data centers, smart energy management, and semiconductor technologies [10]. - The investment approach should prioritize early-stage investments in core technologies related to AI, emphasizing the importance of cash flow generation from AI applications [8][10][11]. - The integration of AI into various industries will determine future investment values, as smaller enterprises gain access to AI technologies previously dominated by larger firms [11].