刚刚！外围突传重磅消息！

Core Viewpoint - The extension of the cobalt export ban by the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) until October 15, 2025, is expected to significantly impact the global cobalt supply chain, potentially leading to a sharp increase in cobalt prices due to supply shortages and rising demand from industries such as electric vehicles and consumer electronics [4][5][7]. Cobalt Export Ban - The DRC's strategic mineral regulatory authority announced the extension of the cobalt export ban until October 15, 2025, with a quota system to be implemented thereafter [5][6]. - The annual export limit for cobalt is set at 18,125 tons for the remainder of 2025, with limits of 96,600 tons for 2026 and 2027 [5]. Price Trends - Cobalt prices have surged significantly this year, with the latest price exceeding 270,000 yuan per ton, marking a 62.7% increase since the beginning of the year [7][9]. - The price increase is attributed to the DRC's export ban and the rising demand from the electric vehicle and consumer electronics sectors [7][9]. Demand Outlook - Cobalt is a critical component in lithium-ion batteries, enhancing energy density and stability [9]. - The global cobalt consumption is projected to reach approximately 200,200 tons in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.15%, with China's consumption expected to grow by 5.6% [9][10]. Market Sentiment - Analysts maintain an optimistic outlook on cobalt prices, predicting a potential upward cycle from 2025 to 2027, with price levels possibly exceeding 350,000 yuan per ton [10]. - The stock performance of leading cobalt companies in the A-share market has been strong, with significant year-to-date gains reported [10].