“低利率”迎战之道分享来了 “陆家嘴金融沙龙”第28期精彩落幕

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges and opportunities for financial institutions in a low-interest-rate environment, emphasizing the need for strategic restructuring, risk management, and innovation to navigate the new economic cycle [4][5]. Group 1: Formation and Trends of Low Interest Rates - Low interest rates are primarily formed due to the asset-liability dynamics between financial and non-financial sectors, with a lack of willingness to incur debt leading to an asset shortage in the financial sector [5]. - Since 2015, China's interest rates have been on a downward trend, influenced by demographic changes, high investment rates, low consumption rates, and subdued inflation [5]. - The aging population and structural issues in the economy are key factors contributing to the decline in capital marginal returns [5][6]. Group 2: Strategies for Surviving the Low Interest Rate Era - Financial institutions can learn from Japan's experience by increasing equity asset allocations, restructuring, and expanding into international markets to enhance revenue [5][6]. - The real estate market plays a crucial role in influencing household leverage and is closely tied to demographic changes, such as the rise of single-person households in major cities [6][8]. - The emergence of the digital economy and digital finance, including concepts like asset tokenization, is expected to reshape the manufacturing sector and financial services [7][9]. Group 3: Financial Institutions' Development Trends - The future development trends for financial institutions include a focus on pension finance, technology finance, and digital finance, with an emphasis on providing financial services for the aging population and supporting innovation in various sectors [9][19]. - The "fixed income plus" fund strategy is highlighted as a significant direction for asset management firms to adapt to the low-interest-rate environment [11][12]. Group 4: Risk Management and Asset Allocation - Effective risk management is essential, with a focus on pre-emptive research and ongoing adjustments to investment strategies in response to market changes [12]. - The insurance sector faces challenges due to declining interest margins, necessitating a linkage between asset and liability management to mitigate risks [18][19]. Group 5: Financing and Leasing Industry Adaptation - The financing and leasing industry must leverage its unique "financing + leasing" advantage to differentiate itself from traditional banks and support emerging industries [16][17]. - The industry is encouraged to focus on its core competencies and avoid price competition to thrive in a low-interest-rate environment [17]. Group 6: Long-term Strategic Planning - Financial institutions are advised to adopt a long-term strategic approach to diversify revenue sources and mitigate the impact of interest rate fluctuations [15]. - Emphasizing the importance of flexibility and adaptability in strategy execution is crucial for maintaining resilience in uncertain economic conditions [15].