Core Viewpoint - The OECD has revised its global economic growth forecast for 2025 to 3.2%, an increase of 0.3 percentage points from the previous June forecast, driven by AI-related investments in the US and fiscal stimulus in China [2][4]. Economic Growth Forecasts - The OECD predicts a global economic growth rate of 3.3% for 2024, slowing to 3.2% in 2025 and further to 2.9% in 2026 [4]. - For the US, the growth forecast for 2025 is set at 1.8%, up by 0.2 percentage points, but down from 2.8% in 2024. High tariffs and reduced immigration are offsetting the effects of strong high-tech investments [6]. - The Eurozone's growth forecast has been raised by 0.2 percentage points to 1.2%, with current policy rates at 2%, half of the peak rates from 2023-2024 [6]. - China's growth forecast for 2025 is adjusted to 4.9%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points, expected to remain stable compared to 2024's 5% [6]. - Japan's growth forecast has been increased by 0.4 percentage points to 1.1%, supported by strong corporate earnings and investment growth [6]. Economic Risks - The OECD highlights that fiscal risks, including rising defense spending and aging population costs, are concerns for the global economy. Increased government bond yields are also seen as evidence of rising future risks for investors [6].
经合组织上调25年中国经济增长率预期至4.9%
日经中文网·2025-09-24 02:58