材料汇·2025-09-23 14:18Core Viewpoints - The industry is experiencing a significant upgrade in special electronic fabrics, transitioning from LowDK-1 to LowDK-2, with urgent demand for LowCTE fabrics to address chip packaging warping issues, and quartz fiber fabrics (Q fabrics) emerging as the ultimate solution for next-generation applications [2][3][11]. Demand Side: Dual Acceleration Driving Product Iteration - The market for low dielectric electronic fabrics is projected to reach 168 million meters by 2026, driven by the demand from Nvidia's Rubin architecture and 1.6T switches, with Q fabric demand expected to reach 16.85 million meters, corresponding to a market size of approximately 4 billion yuan [3][11]. - The increasing performance requirements of high-end smartphones will drive the demand for LowCTE glass fiber fabrics, with a potential increase in demand exceeding 13.5 million meters if the usage in a single Apple phone rises from 0 to 0.05 meters [11][12]. Supply Side: Clear Trend of Domestic Substitution, Short-Term Supply Still Tight - High-end electronic fabric production faces significant barriers in raw material formulation, drawing processes, and weaving machines, with a forecasted supply gap for LowDK-2 and LowCTE products continuing until 2026, supporting price stability [3][12][14]. - Domestic manufacturers such as China National Materials, Honghe Technology, and others are rapidly expanding their production capacity, with domestic production capacity expected to exceed 6 million meters per month by August 2025 [7][13]. Competitive Landscape: High-End Overseas Leadership, Domestic Manufacturers Accelerating Technology and Capacity Enhancement - The global market for special electronic fabrics is currently dominated by a few manufacturers in Japan and Taiwan, but domestic companies are making significant technological breakthroughs and capacity expansions [7][13]. - Companies like Feilihua, a leader in the quartz fiber industry, are positioned to benefit from the growing demand for quartz fiber and Q fabrics, with a comprehensive supply chain advantage [7][13]. Unique Insights Compared to Market Views - The report indicates that all types of special electronic fabrics will remain in a state of supply tightness in 2025, with LowDK-2 and LowCTE experiencing continued shortages until 2026 due to rapid demand growth and supply-side barriers [8][14]. - Q fabrics are expected to enter mass production in 2026, but the demand and ramp-up pace will depend on the determination of technological routes and the market launch of end products [8][14].