京东方、TCL华星、惠科等10月稼动率将降至79%

Core Viewpoint - TrendForce indicates that the demand for LCD TV panels will slow down by Q4 2025, prompting major manufacturers like BOE, CSOT, and HKC to implement production adjustments during the National Day holiday to manage inventory and operational costs [2][4]. Supply Side Summary - Major panel manufacturers plan to take breaks during the National Day holiday, with BOE, CSOT, and Sharp scheduling 5 to 7 days off for their 10.5-generation production lines, leading to an estimated production utilization rate of around 74% for October [2]. - HKC's main production lines are expected to have a 5-day holiday, resulting in an estimated utilization rate of approximately 77.5% for the 8.6-generation panels [2]. - CSOT's T1 and T2 factories are also planning a 5-day break, with the utilization rate for the 8.5-generation lines expected to decrease by 4 percentage points to 81.3% [2]. Demand Side Summary - October's demand for TV panels is supported by pre-sales for the Double Eleven shopping festival, but there is a 4.8% month-over-month decline in demand compared to September, leading manufacturers to control production [3]. - The production adjustments are expected to help stabilize TV panel prices in October [4].