印度股市出现复苏迹象

Core Insights - The Indian government's policies are restoring market confidence, with the SENSEX index rising by 3.5% in September, indicating a potential recovery in the stock market [1][3] - The SENSEX index closed at 82,626 points on September 19, just 4% away from its historical high of 85,836 points set in September 2024 [3] - There are signs of reduced selling pressure from foreign investors, with net purchases of $189 million recorded in the third week of September [6] Group 1: Government Policies and Market Response - The government's large-scale tax cuts are expected to boost consumer spending, contributing to GDP growth [8] - The reduction in the Goods and Services Tax (GST) on various products, particularly in the automotive sector, is a significant aspect of the tax reform [6][9] - The market's positive response is also linked to the resumption of trade negotiations with the U.S. and the potential for lower tariffs [9] Group 2: Economic Forecasts and Investment Sentiment - DBS Group Research has raised its GDP growth forecast for India from 6.3% to 6.7% for the fiscal year ending March 2026 [8] - Morgan Stanley predicts a 50% chance that the SENSEX index will reach 89,000 points by June 2026, with a 30% probability of hitting 100,000 points [9] - The expectation of a potential interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India is also contributing to positive market sentiment [9]