「智元」向左，「宇树」向右，「优必选」加速蜕变

Core Insights - The article discusses the current state and developments of three leading humanoid robot companies in China: Zhiyuan Robotics, Yushu Technology, and Ubtech. It highlights the challenges and breakthroughs in technology, commercialization, and the secondary market for these companies. Technology Route - The article emphasizes that large models determine the generalization ability of humanoid robots, which is a core barrier to commercialization at this stage [6]. - Ubtech has a full-stack technical capability in humanoid robotics, including self-developed BrainNet 2.0 and Co-Agent technology [7]. - Zhiyuan Robotics has established a comprehensive product layout and has released the Zhiyuan Qiyuan model GO, which is open-sourced [7]. - Yushu Technology focuses on hardware and motion control, recently accelerating its AI capabilities with the release of the UnifoLM-WMA-0 model [7]. Commercialization Progress - Ubtech has made significant strides in commercialization, with a forecast to deliver 500 industrial humanoid robots in 2025. Citibank has revised its shipment forecast for Ubtech upwards, predicting deliveries of 2,000 to 3,000 units next year [8][10]. - Yushu Technology has achieved over 1 billion yuan in annual revenue, with a 30% contribution from biped humanoid robots, and expects to deliver over 1,500 units this year [15]. - Zhiyuan Robotics is also making progress in commercialization, with expected revenue of around 100 million yuan in 2024 and several thousand units planned for delivery [17]. Secondary Market Developments - Ubtech's stock price has risen from 99.25 HKD to 131.8 HKD, with a market capitalization of 62.201 billion HKD [18]. - Zhiyuan Robotics successfully acquired a controlling stake in a listed company, marking its entry into the capital market and enhancing its funding capabilities [20]. - Yushu Technology has initiated its IPO process, with expectations of a high valuation in the market [22][23]. Industry Trends - The article notes that while many humanoid robot startups have announced commercial breakthroughs, the actual application scenarios often remain in the proof-of-concept stage [18]. - The competition among humanoid robot companies is intensifying, with strategic partnerships and overseas expansions being crucial for growth [18][19]. - The overall market for humanoid robots is expected to grow, driven by advancements in technology and increasing demand for practical applications [30].