满屏都是AI、算力、光模块、半导体!部分私募“不想跟科技股玩了”
天天基金网·2025-09-25 03:00

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is experiencing high volatility, with a strong performance in large-cap technology stocks, but concerns about short-term risks are emerging due to crowded trades and high leverage in the technology sector [3][4][5]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The A-share market has seen a continuous rise in financing balances, indicating a concentration of leveraged funds in technology stocks, which raises short-term risk concerns [4][6]. - The TMT (Technology, Media, Telecommunications) sector's trading volume has reached approximately 35%, placing it in the 92nd percentile since 2019, indicating a crowded trading environment [4]. - Some private equity firms are adjusting their portfolios to mitigate risks, with a focus on sectors like cyclical, consumer, and high-end manufacturing [3][6]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - Private equity strategies are diverging, with some firms reducing exposure to overvalued technology stocks while others maintain their focus on growth sectors, particularly in AI and domestic supply chains [6][7]. - There is a notable interest in sectors outside of technology, such as new energy, consumer brands, and cyclical stocks, as firms seek to capitalize on emerging opportunities [8][9]. - The overall sentiment suggests a cautious approach towards technology stocks due to high valuations and trading congestion, prompting a search for value in other sectors [7][9]. Group 3: Sector Insights - Despite high trading volumes, some private equity firms believe that quality technology stocks have not severely overstretched their fundamentals, with domestic companies still trading at discounts compared to their overseas counterparts [5][6]. - The new consumption sector is viewed positively, with firms focusing on companies that demonstrate strong performance and resilience despite market fluctuations [8]. - The cyclical sector is expected to benefit from macroeconomic trends, including potential interest rate cuts and improved supply-demand dynamics [8][9].