鑫椤锂电·2025-09-26 07:11Industry Overview - In the first eight months of 2025, China's lithium-ion battery exports reached 30.03 billion units, a year-on-year increase of 18.66%, with an export value of $48.296 billion, up 25.79% year-on-year, indicating a stable growth trend [1] - In August 2025 alone, the export value was $7.153 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 23.51% [1] Cobalt Supply and Regulations - The Democratic Republic of Congo announced an end to an eight-month export ban starting October 15, 2025, transitioning to a strict quota management system, with only 18,100 tons of cobalt available for export in the remainder of 2025 [2] - The annual export limits for 2026 and 2027 are set at 96,600 tons [2] Lithium Battery Material Production - Hunan Youneng has reported a production capacity of 858,000 tons for phosphate-based cathode materials as of June 2025, with ongoing projects in Spain and Malaysia [2] Market Dynamics for Lithium Materials - Domestic lithium carbonate prices have fluctuated between 73,000 to 74,000 yuan per ton, with strong market demand supporting price stability despite regulatory delays in Jiangxi [4] - The price of cobalt has increased due to the adjustment of export regulations in the Democratic Republic of Congo, impacting the prices of ternary materials and precursors [6] Pricing Trends for Key Materials - Ternary material prices range from 126,000 to 131,000 yuan per ton for single crystal types and 145,000 to 151,000 yuan per ton for 811 types [7] - Phosphate iron lithium prices are between 33,600 to 35,000 yuan per ton for power types and 32,600 to 33,200 yuan per ton for energy storage types [8] - The price of negative electrode materials shows a range from 50,000 to 65,000 yuan per ton for high-end natural graphite products [9] Electrolyte Market Developments - The domestic electrolyte market is experiencing strong supply and demand, with prices slightly increasing; a significant long-term supply agreement has been signed between Jiujiang Tianci and Ruipu Lanjun for a minimum of 800,000 tons of electrolyte products by December 31, 2030 [10][11] Battery and Electric Vehicle Market - The domestic lithium battery market remains stable, with a projected production increase of up to 5% in October 2025, driven by strong demand from new energy vehicles and energy storage [12] - In the last week, 508,000 passenger vehicles were sold, with new energy vehicles accounting for 298,000 units, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 28.25% [13] Energy Storage Innovations - The energy storage cell market is stable, with some leading companies planning to raise cell prices; BYD has launched a new generation energy storage system featuring a 2710Ah blade battery, marking a significant advancement in capacity [14]