投中网·2025-09-27 07:04Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current state of the A-share market, particularly focusing on AI computing power concept stocks, referred to as "Yi Zhongtian" and "Ji Lianhai," and raises the question of whether these stocks are overvalued or undervalued amidst their significant price increases [3][5]. Group 1: Market Trends - The rapid development of AI is expected to increase the demand for optical modules and drive upgrades towards higher transmission rates [9][10]. - The competition in AI computing power not only relies on GPU capabilities but also on data transmission efficiency, where optical modules play a crucial role [11][12]. - The market demand for optical modules continues to grow, and the speed of their iteration is accelerating [14][22]. Group 2: Performance Metrics - The main optical module companies, represented by "Yi Zhongtian," have shown significant revenue growth, with New Yisheng, Zhongji Xuchuang, and Tianfu Communication reporting increases of 282.64%, 36.95%, and 57.84% in revenue respectively for the first half of 2025 [20]. - The sales volume of optical modules for Zhongji Xuchuang and New Yisheng increased by 45.96% and 112.53% year-on-year in the first half of 2025 [28]. - Major cloud service providers are significantly increasing their capital expenditures, with a projected 50% growth in combined capital spending expected for 2025 [30][31]. Group 3: Valuation Insights - Analysts have incorporated the anticipated growth from 1.6T optical modules and increased capital expenditures into their 2026 performance forecasts, predicting net profits for Zhongji Xuchuang, New Yisheng, and Tianfu Communication to grow by 45.98%, 47.17%, and 37.05% respectively [38]. - The dynamic price-to-earnings ratios for these companies are projected to be 34.71, 30.66, and 48.04, suggesting a reasonable valuation range of 30-40 times earnings in the current market environment [39][40]. - The article suggests that the valuation of "Yi Zhongtian" stocks may not fully reflect the potential liquidity premium from the current market conditions [45]. Group 4: Investment Strategies - For investors already holding "Yi Zhongtian" stocks, a strategy of locking in profits through gradual selling is recommended, with specific profit-taking thresholds set [51][52]. - New investors are advised to wait for a significant price correction before entering the market, as chasing high-flying stocks can lead to losses [58][60]. - The article emphasizes the importance of having a clear understanding of the industry and company fundamentals before making investment decisions, particularly in a volatile market [57][62].