央行最新信号! 删除“加力实施增量政策”相关表述
21世纪经济报道·2025-09-27 06:06

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has signaled a more proactive monetary policy approach in response to complex domestic and international economic conditions, emphasizing the need for effective implementation of policies to support economic stability and reasonable price levels [1][2][4]. Group 1: Economic Conditions - The external environment is increasingly complex, with weakened global economic growth and rising trade barriers, while China's economy shows signs of steady progress despite challenges such as insufficient domestic demand and low price levels [1]. - Recent data indicates a positive shift in price trends, with the Producer Price Index (PPI) stabilizing after eight months of decline, and the Consumer Price Index (CPI) showing a narrowing year-on-year decline [1]. Group 2: Monetary Policy Direction - The meeting highlighted the importance of maintaining a moderately loose monetary policy and enhancing counter-cyclical adjustments, aiming to better utilize both the total and structural functions of monetary policy tools [2][4]. - New phrases introduced in this meeting, such as "implementing and refining moderately loose monetary policy," align with previous directives from the Central Political Bureau, indicating a focus on executing existing policies effectively [2][4]. Group 3: Coordination of Policies - The meeting emphasized strengthening domestic circulation and coordinating supply and demand, while maintaining policy continuity and flexibility to stimulate domestic demand and stabilize expectations [4]. - The PBOC's approach will remain focused on domestic conditions, with adjustments made based on macroeconomic data, similar to practices observed in major global central banks [5][6]. Group 4: Financial Market Observations - The meeting noted the importance of monitoring long-term bond yields, with a focus on macro-prudential assessments of the bond market, as government bond supply increases and yields rise [10][11]. - The potential for the PBOC to resume government bond trading operations is contingent on market supply-demand dynamics and interest rate levels [11]. Group 5: Support for the Real Economy - The meeting called for increased monetary credit support for the real economy, particularly for small and micro enterprises, and emphasized the need for effective implementation of structural monetary policy tools [8][13]. - The PBOC aims to ensure liquidity remains ample while guiding financial institutions to enhance credit supply, aligning social financing growth with economic growth and price expectations [13].