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中秋国庆假期8天免收通行费,自驾出行或达18.7亿人次
21世纪经济报道·2025-09-28 07:14

Core Viewpoint - The upcoming Mid-Autumn and National Day holiday period from October 1 to October 8 is expected to see a significant increase in travel demand, with a total of 2.36 billion people anticipated to travel, averaging about 295 million daily, which is a 3.2% increase compared to the same period last year [4]. Transportation Trends - Self-driving is projected to be the primary mode of travel, with an estimated 1.87 billion people traveling by car, accounting for about 80% of total travel. Peak traffic on highways may exceed 70 million vehicles per day, with 14 million being new energy vehicles [5]. - The first peak of travel is expected on October 1, with daily passenger flow potentially exceeding 340 million, marking a historical peak. A second peak is anticipated on October 7 and 8 [5]. - There will be a notable increase in medium to long-distance travel, particularly in major urban areas such as Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, Yangtze River Delta, and Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area [5]. - Domestic and international tourism is expected to be robust, with popular cities like Shanghai, Chengdu, and Beijing seeing increased tourist activity. Outbound travel to countries like Japan and South Korea is also expected to rise significantly [6]. Freight and Logistics - Freight transport is expected to remain stable during the holiday, with an average of 5.5 to 5.8 million trucks operating daily, which is about a 30% decrease from regular freight volume [6]. Aviation Insights - The civil aviation sector anticipates a total passenger volume of 19.2 million during the holiday, a 3.6% increase from last year, reaching a historical high for this period. Daily planned flights are set at 18,900, reflecting a 3.3% year-on-year increase [9][11]. - The second half of the holiday is expected to see a concentration of passenger flow, particularly on the last two days, with daily passenger numbers potentially reaching or exceeding 2.56 million [9]. - Popular domestic routes and smaller airports in tourist destinations are expected to experience significant growth, with major cities like Beijing, Shanghai, and Guangzhou projected to handle over 17 million passengers [10]. Railway Operations - The railway sector expects to send over 219 million passengers during the holiday, with an average of 13,000 trains operating daily, sending approximately 18.25 million passengers each day [14][15]. - The railway department plans to optimize capacity and service, including the addition of night trains and special tourist trains to meet the high demand during peak travel times [15][16]. - Enhanced ticketing and service measures will be implemented to improve the travel experience, including the use of electronic invoices and better coordination with other transport services [16].