Core Viewpoint - Spot gold has broken through the $3,800 per ounce mark, reaching a new historical high, with a year-to-date increase of over 45% [2][5]. Market Performance - As of the latest report, spot gold is priced at $3,807.319 per ounce, reflecting a daily increase of 1.29% [3]. - New York futures gold has also reached a historical high, currently reported at $3,833.9 per ounce, with a daily rise of 0.65% [6]. Market Drivers - The surge in gold prices is attributed to investor expectations of further interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, alongside a weakening dollar, which provides additional support for gold prices [7]. - According to CME FedWatch data, traders currently estimate an 89.3% probability of a rate cut in October and approximately 66.6% for December [8]. Economic Indicators - Recent U.S. economic data shows that the PCE price index rose from 2.6% to 2.7% year-on-year, with the core index stable at 2.9%, reinforcing market expectations for further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve [11]. Technical Analysis - FXStreet analysis indicates that gold maintains a bullish outlook in the long term, with prices holding above the 100-day moving average. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggests an overbought condition, indicating potential for technical consolidation or a short-term pullback before a new upward trend [12]. Related Market Movements - The A-share precious metals sector saw a significant rise, with gains exceeding 4% in the afternoon session [13][14]. - Notable stocks include Shengda Resources, which hit the daily limit with a 9.99% increase, and Zhaojin Mining, which rose nearly 9% [15][16].
黄金,见证历史!