格隆汇APP·2025-10-04 09:17Core Viewpoint - The storage chip industry is experiencing a significant price increase driven by strong demand from AI applications and supply constraints, indicating a potential upward cycle that may last until at least the second half of 2026 [6][11][12]. Price Increase Drivers - In September, several major suppliers announced price hikes for storage products, with SanDisk raising prices by over 10%, Samsung increasing prices by 30% for certain memory products, and Micron announcing a 20%-30% increase [8][9]. - The market perceives this as the start of a second wave of price increases in the storage market, with expectations of continued growth in demand driven by AI and data center needs [11][14]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The demand for storage chips is being significantly influenced by the AI industry, with applications requiring increased memory bandwidth and capacity [12][20]. - On the supply side, manufacturers are shifting production towards higher-margin products, leading to a tightening of supply for traditional DRAM products [13][14]. - The ongoing transition from older technologies to newer ones is creating a structural supply-demand imbalance, benefiting companies that can adapt quickly [20][21]. Market Outlook - Forecasts indicate that prices for various storage products will continue to rise in the fourth quarter, with expected increases of 10%-15% for DDR5 and LPDDR5 products, and 5%-10% for mobile NAND [15]. - The storage chip industry is anticipated to enter a recovery phase starting in the second quarter of 2025, providing performance elasticity for related companies [15][16]. Company Performance - Jiangbolong, a third-party storage module manufacturer, has shown a significant turnaround in performance, with a 39.53% increase in revenue in the second quarter of this year [16][17]. - Other companies in the storage supply chain, such as Shannon Chip and Bawei Storage, are also expected to benefit from the rising prices and demand [17]. Competitive Landscape - Domestic companies like Changxin Storage and Yangtze Memory Technologies are positioned well in the DRAM and NAND markets, respectively, with significant advancements in technology and production capacity [22][24]. - The collaboration between OpenAI and major chip manufacturers like Samsung and SK Hynix highlights the explosive growth in demand for DRAM, with OpenAI planning to procure a substantial amount of DRAM capacity by 2029 [27][28][30].