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房价都在跌,偏偏这里在涨
经济观察报·2025-10-06 02:43

Core Viewpoint - The real estate market in Dingbian County is experiencing a significant upward trend, contrasting sharply with the declining prices in major cities like Xi'an, driven by high demand and limited supply [5][22]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - Dingbian County's new housing prices have surpassed 5000 yuan per square meter as of October 2025, a notable increase from under 4000 yuan per square meter in 2022, marking a cumulative rise of over 25% in three years [5][6]. - In contrast, Xi'an's second-hand housing prices have dropped to an average of 12,234 yuan per square meter as of September 2025, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 10.1% and a nearly 25% decrease over three years [5][6]. - The local economy heavily relies on the oil industry, with Dingbian being the largest oil and gas production county in China, which supports the rising housing demand [9][10]. Group 2: Buyer Profiles - There are two primary buyer categories in Dingbian: those purchasing for marriage, often with high standards for housing, and parents seeking homes in desirable school districts due to new policies requiring early home purchases for school enrollment [11][12]. - The demand from families relocating to the county for educational opportunities has contributed to the sustained housing price increases, as rural populations continue to migrate to urban areas [14]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The sustainability of the current housing price surge is uncertain, with concerns about potential price corrections as new housing projects are set to be completed in the coming years, which may increase supply [20]. - Local residents express mixed feelings about the rapid price increases, with some considering selling their properties to capitalize on the current market conditions [19]. - The recent data from the National Bureau of Statistics indicates a general decline in housing prices across major cities, raising questions about the longevity of Dingbian's price growth [21].