日元走进“高市交易”，在主要7种货币中最弱

Core Viewpoint - The Japanese yen is experiencing significant depreciation, with predictions that it will be the weakest week since September 2024, primarily due to market reactions to political changes and monetary policy expectations in Japan [1][5]. Exchange Rate Trends - As of October 9, the yen's exchange rate fluctuated around 153 yen per dollar, marking a depreciation of approximately 4% compared to the rate before the ruling party's presidential election on October 3 [3][5]. - The yen's depreciation is more pronounced than that of other major currencies, such as the euro and New Zealand dollar, which have also seen declines of 1.6% and 1.5% respectively [5]. Market Sentiment and Speculation - UBS has indicated that speculative positions in the yen are leading to further selling pressure, with a potential temporary drop to 155 yen [5]. - Market participants are testing the bottom of the yen's exchange rate, with Forex.com suggesting it may be a good opportunity to reduce yen holdings [5]. Political and Economic Factors - The political landscape in Japan remains uncertain, with discussions about coalition governance and the selection of a new finance minister potentially influencing market dynamics [6]. - A report from Bank of America highlights that individual investors' foreign exchange asset investments and ongoing corporate overseas direct investments are contributing to increased selling pressure on the yen [6].