高市早苗首相之路悬了？日本首相指名选举被推后

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the challenges faced by Japan's new Prime Minister candidate, Sanae Takaichi, following her election as the president of the ruling Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) amid a significant loss of parliamentary majority, raising questions about her ability to secure the premiership [3][4]. Group 1: Political Context - Takaichi won the LDP presidential election on October 4, but her path to becoming Japan's first female Prime Minister is complicated by the LDP's minority status in the Diet [3]. - The scheduled Prime Minister nomination vote on October 15 has been delayed, marking the longest preparation period for a new LDP president in history [3][4]. - The Komeito party, traditionally an ally of the LDP, has indicated a potential withdrawal from the ruling coalition, complicating Takaichi's position [4][6]. Group 2: Coalition Dynamics - The longstanding "LDP-Komeito coalition" has been under strain, particularly with Takaichi's election, which has raised concerns within Komeito about the LDP's direction [6][7]. - Komeito has set conditions for continued support, including demands to address political scandals and historical issues, which have not yet been fully resolved [7][8]. - Takaichi's reliance on the Aso faction within the LDP, which is linked to past political scandals, may hinder her ability to gain broader support [8]. Group 3: Opposition Parties - The opposition parties, particularly the Constitutional Democratic Party (CDP), are positioning themselves to capitalize on the LDP's internal divisions, proposing a unified candidate for the upcoming nomination vote [9][10]. - Despite the potential for collaboration among opposition parties, significant policy differences may impede their ability to present a united front against the LDP [10]. - Takaichi's success in securing the premiership may depend on her ability to negotiate with both Komeito and opposition parties, as the current political landscape is fraught with uncertainty [10].