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Core Viewpoint - The cryptocurrency market has experienced a significant downturn, with Bitcoin and Ethereum seeing substantial price drops due to external economic factors such as fluctuating U.S. tariff policies and the ongoing government shutdown [1][3][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - In the past 24 hours, Bitcoin's price fell from $122,000 to $103,900, a decline of nearly 15%, while Ethereum dropped from $4,363 to $3,468, exceeding a 20% decrease [3]. - As of the latest report, Bitcoin is priced at $113,787.8, down 6.48%, and Ethereum at $3,872.26, down over 11% [4]. - The total liquidation in the cryptocurrency market exceeded $19.14 billion, affecting approximately 1.62 million traders, with 90% of liquidations being long positions [4][5]. Group 2: Economic Influences - Analysts attribute the cryptocurrency market's decline primarily to the U.S. government's inconsistent tariff policies and the ongoing government shutdown, which has dampened market sentiment [7][8]. - The World Trade Organization (WTO) has adjusted its global goods trade growth forecast for 2025 to 2.4%, but has significantly lowered the 2026 forecast to 0.5% due to global economic slowdown and new tariffs [7]. - The U.S. government shutdown has entered its tenth day, leading to potential layoffs across various departments, further impacting market confidence [8]. Group 3: Federal Reserve Signals - Recent statements from Federal Reserve officials indicate a cautious approach to monetary policy, with discussions around conditional interest rate cuts in response to economic pressures [9]. - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut in October is at 97.8%, reflecting the Fed's response to labor market concerns and inflation risks [10].