财联社·2025-10-11 09:01Core Viewpoint - The rare earth market is experiencing a recovery, with the prices of associated transactions between two major domestic rare earth companies, Baotou Steel (包钢股份) and Northern Rare Earth (北方稀土), increasing significantly in the fourth quarter of this year, marking the fifth consecutive quarter of price hikes [1][2]. Price Adjustments - The associated transaction price for rare earth concentrate has been adjusted to 26,205 CNY/ton (excluding tax, dry weight, REO=50%) for Q4, reflecting a 37.13% increase from the previous quarter's price of 19,109 CNY/ton [1][2]. - The price adjustments are based on the pricing method established in 2022 and the market prices of rare earth oxides projected for Q3 2025 [1]. Market Trends - The price of praseodymium-neodymium oxide has risen significantly, with an average price of 562,000 CNY/ton on September 30, up 26.43% from 444,500 CNY/ton on June 30 [2]. - The current transaction prices for rare earth concentrates have returned to levels comparable to early 2022, where the price was 26,887.2 CNY/ton [2]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The continuous increase in rare earth concentrate prices may be linked to tightening upstream raw material supplies and stimulating policies for downstream consumption [3]. - Northern Rare Earth reported a substantial increase in net profit for the first three quarters of the year, projecting a net profit of 1.51 to 1.57 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 272.54% to 287.34% [3]. Future Outlook - Despite the positive performance, the overall demand for metals remains weak due to stagnant orders from magnetic material companies, which may lead to a downward trend in the rare earth market prices in the short term [3].