全线暴跌！美联储，重磅来袭！

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant market volatility and the heightened focus on the Federal Reserve's monetary policy direction, particularly in light of the upcoming release of the Beige Book and the ongoing government shutdown in the U.S. [2][3] Federal Reserve's Monetary Policy - The Federal Reserve is set to release the latest U.S. economic conditions report (Beige Book) on October 16, which is crucial for understanding the employment market and inflation trends [3][4] - Market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve are increasing, with a 98.3% probability of a 25 basis point cut in October and a 91.7% probability of a cumulative 50 basis point cut by December [3][4] - Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to speak next week, potentially addressing the stock market, tariff policies, and the employment situation [3][4] Government Shutdown Impact - The ongoing government shutdown is causing market disruptions, with predictions that it may not last beyond October 15, coinciding with military paydays [7][9] - Goldman Sachs anticipates that the shutdown will likely end through a statement or concession from President Trump, with negotiations continuing on other issues [7][9] - The impact of the shutdown is escalating, with federal layoffs already beginning, affecting various departments and potentially involving a large number of employees [9][10]