【广发金工】AI识图关注半导体

Market Performance - The Sci-Tech 50 Index decreased by 1.48% over the last five trading days, while the ChiNext Index fell by 3.79%. In contrast, the large-cap value stocks rose by 1.03%, and the large-cap growth stocks declined by 0.67%. The Shanghai 50 Index increased by 1.13%, and the small-cap index represented by the CSI 2000 dropped by 0.15%. The sectors of non-ferrous metals and steel performed well, while media and communication lagged behind [1]. Risk Premium and Valuation Levels - As of October 10, 2025, the risk premium, calculated as the inverse of the static PE of the CSI All Share Index minus the yield of ten-year government bonds, stood at 2.84%. The two-standard-deviation boundary is 4.76%. The valuation levels indicate that the CSI All Share Index's PETTM is at the 80th percentile, with the Shanghai 50 and CSI 300 both at 71%. The ChiNext Index is close to the 50th percentile, while the CSI 500 and CSI 1000 are at 63% and 61%, respectively. The ChiNext Index's valuation is relatively at the historical median level [1]. ETF Fund Flows - In the last five trading days, ETF inflows amounted to 68.6 billion yuan, and the margin trading balance increased by approximately 15.3 billion yuan. The average daily trading volume across the two markets was 233.17 billion yuan [2]. Industry Focus - The latest thematic allocation focuses on semiconductor materials, chips, and information technology. This includes specific indices such as the CSI Semiconductor Industry Index, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Board Semiconductor Materials Equipment Theme Index, the CSI Semiconductor Materials Equipment Index, the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Board Chip Index, and the Shanghai Stock Exchange Sci-Tech Board New Generation Information Technology Index [2][3]. Long-term Market Sentiment - The report includes observations on the proportion of stocks above the 200-day long-term moving average, indicating market sentiment trends [13]. Financing Balance - The report tracks the financing balance, which is a critical indicator of market liquidity and investor sentiment [16]. Individual Stock Performance - There is a statistical distribution of individual stocks based on their year-to-date performance across different return intervals, providing insights into stock performance trends [18]. Oversold Indices - The report highlights indices that are currently considered oversold, which may present potential investment opportunities [20].