乘联分会·2025-10-13 02:01Overall Market Summary - In September 2025, the retail sales of passenger cars reached 2.241 million units, a year-on-year increase of 6.3% and a month-on-month increase of 11.0%. Cumulative retail sales for the year reached 17.005 million units, up 9.2% year-on-year [13][15][16] - The production of passenger cars in September was 2.838 million units, a year-on-year increase of 17.2% and a month-on-month increase of 15.7%. Cumulative production for the year was 20.78 million units, up 13.9% year-on-year [17][18] - The wholesale volume for September was 2.803 million units, marking a historical high for the month, with a year-on-year increase of 12.4% and a month-on-month increase of 13.0% [18] New Energy Market Summary - In September 2025, the production of new energy vehicles (NEVs) reached 1.501 million units, a year-on-year increase of 22.9% and a month-on-month increase of 17.5%. Cumulative production for the year was 10.376 million units, up 32.2% year-on-year [19] - The wholesale volume of NEVs in September was 1.500 million units, a year-on-year increase of 22.4% and a month-on-month increase of 15.9%. Cumulative wholesale for the year reached 10.444 million units, up 31.9% year-on-year [19] - The retail sales of NEVs in September were 1.296 million units, a year-on-year increase of 15.5% and a month-on-month increase of 16.2%. Cumulative retail for the year was 886.6 thousand units, up 24.4% year-on-year [19] Export Performance - In September, the export of passenger cars reached 528,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 20.7% and a month-on-month increase of 5.7%. Cumulative exports for the year were 3.999 million units, up 12.5% year-on-year [17] - NEVs accounted for 40.1% of total exports in September, a year-on-year increase of 15 percentage points. The export of NEVs reached 211,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 96.5% [24][17] Market Trends and Insights - The market is experiencing a shift towards stable pricing and reduced promotional activities, with 23 models seeing price cuts in September, compared to 36 last year [13][15] - The penetration rate of NEVs in the domestic market reached 57.8% in September, with a notable increase in the share of domestic brands [23][19] - The competitive landscape is evolving, with significant growth in domestic brands, particularly in the NEV segment, where brands like BYD and Geely are leading [27][26] Inventory and Production Dynamics - The overall industry inventory increased by 70,000 units in September, indicating a proactive approach by manufacturers to build inventory [19] - The production of luxury brands increased by 7% year-on-year, while domestic brands saw a 21% increase, reflecting strong demand [17][19] Future Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a "front low, middle high, back flat" trend, with a focus on new energy vehicles driving growth [15][29] - The upcoming months may see a more moderate growth rate due to seasonal factors and changes in consumer purchasing behavior [29][30]