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终于迎来停火,但加沙仍在等待真正的和平 | 声东击西
声动活泼·2025-10-14 09:05

Core Viewpoint - The recent ceasefire agreement in Gaza marks a significant turning point after two years of conflict, driven by various geopolitical factors and negotiations involving key players like Israel, Hamas, Qatar, and Trump [2][4][5]. Group 1: Ceasefire Agreement Details - The ceasefire agreement includes the release of approximately 20 Israeli hostages by Hamas and the release of around 2000 Palestinian prisoners by Israel [2][4]. - The ceasefire will unfold in three phases, with the first phase lasting about 42 days, during which Israel will withdraw from certain territories and Hamas will release hostages and bodies [12][14]. - Humanitarian aid will be increased, with the number of aid trucks doubling from about 300 to 600 [13]. Group 2: Factors Leading to the Ceasefire - The bombing of a residential area in Doha by Israel in early September was a critical turning point that pressured Hamas's financial backer, Qatar, to reduce support for Hamas [6][10]. - Internal dissent within Israel regarding the continuation of the war and its economic implications contributed to the urgency for negotiations [10][11][27]. - The changing attitudes of American Jews towards Israel, particularly among younger generations, reflect a growing divide that may influence future U.S. support for Israel [35][36]. Group 3: Future Challenges and Considerations - Key issues such as the status of Jerusalem, the right of return for Palestinian refugees, and the presence of Israeli settlements in the West Bank remain significant obstacles to lasting peace [42][44][45]. - The potential for Hamas to regain military strength is limited due to reduced support from Iran and Qatar, which may affect its future actions [30][32]. - The sustainability of the ceasefire will depend on the roles of Egypt, Qatar, and Iran in providing support and maintaining pressure on both sides [53].