Core Viewpoint - The article highlights that while the Consumer Price Index (CPI) remains low, core inflation is showing signs of recovery, and the Producer Price Index (PPI) is experiencing a narrowing decline, indicating marginal improvement in industrial demand [1][2][4]. CPI Analysis - In September, the CPI increased by 0.1% month-on-month but decreased by 0.3% year-on-year, with the core CPI (excluding food and energy) rising by 1.0%, marking the first time in 19 months that it has returned to 1% [1][2]. - The decline in CPI is primarily driven by food prices, which fell by 4.4%, with significant drops in pork, fresh vegetables, and eggs, down 17.0%, 13.7%, and 13.5% respectively [3][4]. - The "tail effect" contributed to a 0.8 percentage point decrease in the year-on-year CPI [3]. PPI Analysis - The PPI remained flat month-on-month and saw a year-on-year decline of 2.3%, with the rate of decline narrowing by 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous month [1][5]. - Certain industries, such as coal processing and black metal smelting, have shown price increases, indicating a stabilization in prices due to improved supply-demand dynamics [5][6]. - The overall improvement in PPI is attributed to the reduction of high base effects from the previous year and the impact of policies aimed at regulating market competition [6][7]. Market Dynamics - The "anti-involution" policies are expected to enhance industrial capacity utilization and promote re-inflation, which may positively influence the capital market and stabilize social confidence [7].
国家统计局,重磅发布!这些数据意味着什么?最新解读来了
券商中国·2025-10-15 06:50