刚刚！央行重磅数据发布！

Core Viewpoint - The People's Bank of China reported that the total social financing scale exceeded 30 trillion yuan in the first three quarters of the year, indicating a supportive monetary environment for economic recovery [1][6]. Financial Statistics - In the first three quarters, the total social financing increased by 4.42 trillion yuan compared to the same period last year, reaching 30.09 trillion yuan [1]. - RMB loans increased by 14.75 trillion yuan, while RMB deposits rose by 22.71 trillion yuan [1]. - As of the end of September, the year-on-year growth rate of social financing stock was 8.7%, up 0.7 percentage points from the previous year, and the M2 growth rate was 8.4%, up 1.5 percentage points [1]. Direct Financing Contribution - Government bonds and corporate bonds contributed over 40% of the new social financing, with net financing from government bonds at 11.46 trillion yuan, an increase of 4.28 trillion yuan year-on-year [9]. - Corporate bond financing reached 1.57 trillion yuan, supported by favorable policies and low issuance rates [9]. Loan Growth and Structure - The growth rate of new RMB loans decreased to 6.6% by the end of September, but adjusted for local special bond replacement, the growth rate was approximately 7.7% [11]. - The balance of inclusive small and micro loans was 36.09 trillion yuan, growing by 12.2% year-on-year, while medium to long-term loans in the manufacturing sector reached 15.02 trillion yuan, up 8.2% [11]. M1 and Economic Activity - M1 growth reached 7.2% by the end of September, significantly up from the low of 0.1% earlier in the year, indicating increased economic activity [14]. - The narrowing gap between M1 and M2 reflects improved corporate operations and a recovery in personal investment and consumption demand [14]. Monetary Policy Outlook - Experts suggest that the current macroeconomic environment is characterized by insufficient demand, low inflation, and low interest rates, with future financial impacts on the real economy primarily through interest rate channels [12]. - The fourth quarter is expected to see continued monetary policy support for the real economy, with fiscal policies also actively contributing to investment [15].