涨价!这一锂电材料暴涨近万元!
起点锂电·2025-10-15 10:13

Core Viewpoint - The lithium hexafluorophosphate market is entering a reversal phase due to the convergence of increased production capacity concentration among leading companies and a surge in energy storage demand [2][4]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The current utilization rate of leading lithium hexafluorophosphate producers is high, with operations continuing during the National Day holiday [3]. - Prices of lithium hexafluorophosphate have rebounded sharply, with a three-day increase exceeding the total rise for September, reaching an average of 69,500 yuan per ton by October 13 [4][7]. - The previous price cycle began in 2020, peaking at 590,000 yuan per ton in January 2022 before a significant decline to below 100,000 yuan per ton by the end of 2023 [6][7]. Group 2: Demand Drivers - The core driver of the current price increase is the change in supply dynamics, with global energy storage demand becoming a key engine [9]. - From January to August, the domestic energy storage bidding scale exceeded 210 GWh, a year-on-year increase of 150%, with August alone seeing a 517% surge [10]. - The demand for new energy vehicles remains robust, with a penetration rate exceeding 35% and a year-on-year increase in battery installation of 43% from January to August [11]. Group 3: Supply Side Changes - In 2023, the industry faced a supply-demand imbalance, leading to a low utilization rate of 44% for lithium hexafluorophosphate production capacity [15]. - The tightening of environmental regulations has accelerated the exit of inefficient production capacities, with leading companies achieving over 80% utilization rates while smaller firms struggle [15][16]. - Major players like Tianqi Lithium, Mofang, and Tianji have a combined market share exceeding 60%, indicating a significant increase in market concentration [16][17].