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近半资金撤离!高位ETF止盈潮涌,什么情况?
券商中国·2025-10-15 12:00

Core Viewpoint - A significant amount of capital is fleeing high-position ETFs, indicating a structural shift in market behavior where funds are moving from high-performing sectors to those that have underperformed [1][3][4]. Market Dynamics - Recent market volatility has intensified, with a clear "high-cut low" structural characteristic. Funds are withdrawing from previously high-performing sectors while reallocating to those with lower gains. This rotation is expected to be a prolonged process with multiple reversals [2][4]. - Year-to-date, there is a stark divergence in industry performance, with sectors like non-ferrous metals, communications, electronics, and power equipment seeing gains over 40%, while sectors such as food and beverage, coal, and transportation have not seen positive returns [4]. ETF Performance - High-performing ETFs are experiencing significant capital outflows, with the STAR Market 50 ETF being the most affected, seeing a net outflow of nearly 50 billion yuan this year, reducing its share size by almost half [5]. - Other ETFs, such as the ChiNext ETF, have also faced substantial outflows, with over 20 billion yuan leaving since September [5]. - Conversely, underperforming ETFs, particularly in the brokerage sector, have attracted over 10 billion yuan in net inflows, indicating a shift in investor sentiment towards these lagging assets [8]. Investment Trends - The trend of "selling high and buying low" is evident, with funds increasingly favoring ETFs that have not performed well this year. For instance, the brokerage sector ETFs have seen a significant increase in share size, with the Huabao Brokerage ETF's circulation nearly tripling since the beginning of the year [8]. - The market is witnessing a rotation towards assets with strong balance sheets and robust operational patterns, which are expected to benefit from market volatility [12]. Future Outlook - The ongoing trend of capital moving from high-return sectors to those with lower valuations is anticipated to continue, with the potential for prolonged market reversals. Investors are advised to focus on assets with resilience and long-term value creation potential [10][12].