Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the rising valuations of unprofitable energy companies, suggesting that the real over-speculation may be occurring in the energy sector rather than in technology stocks [3]. Group 1: Unprofitable Energy Companies - A group of unprofitable energy companies has seen their total valuation exceed $45 billion, based solely on the expectation that technology companies will eventually purchase their yet-to-be-built energy facilities [4]. - Oklo, a nuclear energy startup supported by OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, has seen its stock price increase approximately sevenfold this year, with a current market capitalization of around $26 billion [4]. - Fermi, another unprofitable company, had an initial valuation of about $19 billion upon its IPO earlier this month, making it one of the largest unprofitable companies by market cap at IPO [5]. Group 2: Company Details and Market Comparisons - Fermi plans to build energy facilities with a total installed capacity of 11 GW, comparable to the total capacity of Talen Energy, which already has operational assets [6]. - Despite its high valuation, Fermi has only secured natural gas equipment that meets 5% of its total capacity goal and has not signed binding contracts with any customers [6]. - Nano Nuclear Energy, a smaller company, has seen its stock price double this year, with a current valuation exceeding $2 billion [7]. Group 3: Market Trends and Predictions - Companies like NuScale Power and Plug Power, which have generated some revenue, are still not expected to achieve profitability for several years, with predictions extending to 2030 [10][11]. - The surge in interest for speculative energy companies may be driven by the high valuations of profitable energy firms, with Bloom Energy's stock price increasing over 400% this year [11]. - If the AI bubble bursts, these unprofitable energy companies are likely to be the most affected, facing significant declines and lacking buffer space [12].
AI泡沫已经蔓延至能源股