万亿大消费增量当前,双11的逻辑彻底变了
第一财经·2025-10-17 07:01

Core Insights - The article highlights the significant transformation in the e-commerce landscape, particularly with the rise of instant delivery services and their integration into the retail sector, marking a shift in consumer behavior and expectations [1][3][4]. E-commerce Trends - The e-commerce sector has been intensely competitive, with a focus on low prices and traffic acquisition over the past two years, while the instant retail market has rapidly developed, with projections indicating it could exceed 3 trillion yuan by 2030, increasing its penetration in online retail from 6% to 15.7% [3][4]. - Consumers are increasingly seeking a blend of e-commerce offerings, including fast delivery and promotional discounts, indicating a demand for a new integrated shopping experience [8][9]. Alibaba's Strategy - Alibaba has initiated a transformation towards a "big consumption" platform, aiming to merge shopping with lifestyle services, which is seen as a historic strategic opportunity [4][10]. - The launch of Taobao Flash Purchase has been pivotal, with significant user growth and engagement, as evidenced by a 25% year-on-year increase in monthly active users [11][20]. Consumer Behavior - Research indicates that 6.82% of consumers purchased the iPhone 17 through instant retail, showcasing a shift in purchasing habits where consumers are increasingly using delivery services for a variety of products [7][12]. - The integration of instant delivery with traditional e-commerce is expected to enhance consumer engagement and drive sales growth for brands [12][20]. Market Dynamics - The upcoming Double 11 shopping festival is anticipated to be a critical test for the synergy between instant delivery and e-commerce, with brands expected to leverage this opportunity for increased visibility and sales [5][14]. - The competition in the instant delivery market is stabilizing, with a daily average of around 200 million orders, prompting platforms to focus on improving operational efficiency and enhancing brand retail importance [14][19]. Membership and Loyalty - The 88VIP membership program has seen substantial growth, with over 53 million members, making it a significant driver of brand sales, contributing over 55% of top brand revenues on Tmall [21][23]. - The loyalty and repeat purchase rates among paid members are crucial for brands, as they represent a committed consumer base willing to invest in their preferred platforms [24][26]. Future Outlook - The integration of flash purchase and membership systems is expected to create a robust consumer ecosystem, enhancing brand retention and operational efficiency [26][27]. - The evolving market dynamics suggest that brands must adapt quickly to capitalize on the emerging opportunities presented by the integration of e-commerce and instant delivery services [27].